COVID-19: The Harsh Tradeoffs

COVID-19 created a series of dilemmas for policymakers at the state and federal levels.  Actions that would reduce the frequency of infection involved measures that would limit personal interactions, causing the loss of jobs, while reopening the economy proved to result in higher levels of infection, hospitalizations and deaths. But, the difficult policy choices were […]

Positive COVID Tests and Hospitalizations More than Doubled In New York After September 1st

The number of COVID-19 positive tests and hospitalizations in New York State has sharply increased since September 1st.  The number of daily positive tests identified on October 28th was 1,739, compared with 677 on September 1st – an increase of 157%.  Current hospitalizations increased from 457 to 1,042 during the same period – an increase […]

Covid-19 Cases Increase Unevenly in New York

Through this Summer, Covid-19 case numbers remained low in New York State.  Though the numbers remain far below the levels of March and April, the rate of infection statewide is increasing.  In July and August, the state averaged between three and four cases per 100,000 residents per day.  By October the number had increased to […]

Covid-19: Rapid Growth in Cases Exposes Vulnerabilities

Although the Northeast, particularly New York State, was the epicenter of the Covid-19 outbreak in March and April,  states like New York, New Jersey and Massachusetts imposed stringent measures that limited personal interactions, such as closing all non-essential worksites, limiting gatherings to groups of 10 or less, and requiring people to wear masks in settings […]

Despite Agitation to Reopen Businesses, Upstate Covid-19 Cases Are Not Declining

Upstate areas are seeing increasing pressure to reopen currently closed businesses as the economic damage from Covid-19 restrictions increases.  With millions of New Yorkers unemployed and businesses facing the prospect of permanent closure, there is real need for relief.  But reopening should take place in a way that does not lead to significant growth in […]

Reported Covid-19 Cases Increase in Upstate New York

Although New York State is seeing a decline in the number of new reported Coronavirus infections, the decrease is concentrated in downstate New York.  Reported new Covid-19 cases in upstate areas are increasing.  The increase is associated with an increase in the availability of tests for the virus. New Cases Decrease Statewide New Covid-19 cases […]

New Covid-19 Cases Decline Throughout New York

The number of new reported cases of Coronavirus in New York State has begun to decline.  The chart below, which shows the three-day moving average of new cases, indicates that after plateauing from April 3rd to April 10th, a decline began, with cases decreasing from a peak of more than 10,000 to less than 5,000 […]

Will New York Reopen for Business by May 1st?

Recent reports show that President Trump would like to reopen the national economy within a few weeks.  The Washington Post reported that “President Trump — concerned with the sagging economy — has sought a strategy for resuming business activity by May 1.”   More recently, the President said that he expected some states to reopen before […]