Recent Posts

  • New York’s Census Population Roller Coaster – A Follow-up - Estimates of New York's population have recently been on a roller coaster. The Census Bureau's Annual Population Estimate for 2020 for New York was 19,382,373, increasing only 4,271 since 2010. In 2021, the Census Bureau released its 2020 Decennial Census of the nation's population. The decennial Census showed that New…
  • Census Surveys, Data Limitations, and Household Income Change in New York State - On the surface, finding the answer to how household median incomes changed over the decade from 2010 to 2020 is simple. At the national level, data from the Census Bureau's American Community Survey is sufficiently robust to allow us to know the incomes of each group for each year and…
  • The Economic Value of College Depends upon Where You Live - College graduates enjoy a substantial income premium over those with a high school degree. In New York State, the median income in 2019 for people aged 25 or older with a Bachelor's degree was $62,699. The median income for high school graduates was only $33,491. For those with advanced degrees,…
  • Look Deeper – Much more to New York exodus than tax rates - An opinion piece for the Albany Times-Union: https://www.timesunion.com/opinion/article/Look-deeper-Much-more-to-New-York-exodus-than-16920413.php?IPID=Times-Union-opinion-centerpiece
  • A Caution About the Use of Census Population Estimates - Note - An updated post on this subject may be found here: New Yorkers were surprised when the Census Bureau announced that instead of gaining 4,271 residents between 2010 and 2020, as reported in the Census Bureau's Annual Population Estimate, the Decennial Census showed that the state's population had grown…
  • With a New Governor, New York Faces Economic Challenges - For decades, New York has had substantial disparities in economic performance. Although some parts of the State are doing relatively well, much of it has declining employment, higher levels of poverty, lower household income levels, and fewer adults working than the nation. Over most of the past decade, job growth…
  • COVID-19 erased New York’s Employment Gains over the Past Decade - From June 2011 to June 2019, New York saw employment increase by 388,440 - 4.4%. But by June 2021, the pandemic had erased all those gains. In June, the state's employment was lower than in 2011 - by 72,916 jobs or 0.8%. Both before the COVID pandemic and in June…
  • New York’s Population Increased by 823,147 between 2010 and 2020 while Upstate’s Declined - Based on the newly released 2020 Census data, New York's population grew by 823,147 residents - 4.25% - between 2010 and 2020. The State's performance was similar to others in its region and not far from the median growth rate for all states - 5.9%. But, more than three-quarters of…
  • Empire Center Article Questioning New York’s Nursing Home Staffing Law Misstates Evidence - The Empire Center's Bill Hammond published an article, "A Study of COVID-19 in Nursing Homes Raises Doubt About New York’s Minimum Staffing Law," that argues that "A newly published study of COVID-19 in nursing homes links larger numbers of employees to higher rates of infection and death for residents –…
  • COVID Cases are Still at a High Level – Are Vaccines Making a Difference? - COVID Infection Rates Have Plateaued at a High Level Although forty percent of eligible Americans have received at least one COVID vaccine injection, the number of cases has plateaued as of late April. The most recent available data shows that the number of new infections on April 20th was 20…
  • Was Cuomo’s COVID Mandate Associated with Nursing Home Deaths? A Correction - I recently wrote about the relationship between Governor Cuomo’s policy requiring nursing homes to accept new residents discharged from hospitals with positive COVID-19 test results. The policy was in place from March to early May 2020. I compared my results with those of a study by Bill Hammond and Ian…
  • The Empire Center’s Report on Nursing Home Deaths Answers Some Questions, Raises Others - The Empire Center's February 18th Report, "COVID-positive Admissions Were Correlated with Higher Death Rates in New York Nursing Homes" shows an association between COVID-positive admissions and death rates in nursing homes in New York State, following the State Health Department order on March 25th, 2020 requiring that they accept recovering…
  • Cuomo’s Nursing Home Controversy – What does the Data Show? - Questions have been raised since last Summer about New York's published count of nursing home resident deaths. The State had claimed until this month that nursing home deaths stood at only 7,491, a relatively low rate compared to other states across the nation. This, despite Governor Cuomo's health department directive…
  • The Botched COVID-19 Vaccine Rollout: 100 Million Doses in 100 Days Isn’t Enough - The rollout of the COVID-19 vaccine in New York State and elsewhere has been marred by confusion and limited supplies of vaccines. In New York, the state portal does not provide an easy way for people to identify all the locations that have the vaccine, or to sign-up, other than…
  • Poverty in Upstate Metropolitan Areas: Myths and Realities - We live in an era in which long-held attitudes about race have been heightened by political campaigns that attempt to mobilize fears among white voters about minority group members and immigrants.  These appeals have ranged from claims that President Obama is a Muslim who was born in Kenya and claims…