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  • Was Cuomo’s COVID Mandate Associated with Nursing Home Deaths? A Correction - I recently wrote about the relationship between Governor Cuomo’s policy requiring nursing homes to accept new residents discharged from hospitals with positive COVID-19 test results. The policy was in place from March to early May 2020. I compared my results with those of a study by Bill Hammond and Ian…
  • The Empire Center’s Report on Nursing Home Deaths Answers Some Questions, Raises Others - The Empire Center's February 18th Report, "COVID-positive Admissions Were Correlated with Higher Death Rates in New York Nursing Homes" shows an association between COVID-positive admissions and death rates in nursing homes in New York State, following the State Health Department order on March 25th, 2020 requiring that they accept recovering…
  • Cuomo’s Nursing Home Controversy – What does the Data Show? - Questions have been raised since last Summer about New York's published count of nursing home resident deaths. The State had claimed until this month that nursing home deaths stood at only 7,491, a relatively low rate compared to other states across the nation. This, despite Governor Cuomo's health department directive…
  • The Botched COVID-19 Vaccine Rollout: 100 Million Doses in 100 Days Isn’t Enough - The rollout of the COVID-19 vaccine in New York State and elsewhere has been marred by confusion and limited supplies of vaccines. In New York, the state portal does not provide an easy way for people to identify all the locations that have the vaccine, or to sign-up, other than…
  • Poverty in Upstate Metropolitan Areas: Myths and Realities - We live in an era in which long-held attitudes about race have been heightened by political campaigns that attempt to mobilize fears among white voters about minority group members and immigrants.  These appeals have ranged from claims that President Obama is a Muslim who was born in Kenya and claims…
  • New York’s Explosion of COVID Cases and a Flawed Vaccine Roll-Out - When Covid-19 first appeared in New York in March of this year, the state, like other locations, faced a novel disease against which there were few defenses. New York faced a dire situation in March - hospitals in the New York Metropolitan area were overwhelmed.  With cases and hospitalizations skyrocketing,…
  • COVID-19: The Harsh Tradeoffs - COVID-19 created a series of dilemmas for policymakers at the state and federal levels.  Actions that would reduce the frequency of infection involved measures that would limit personal interactions, causing the loss of jobs, while reopening the economy proved to result in higher levels of infection, hospitalizations and deaths. But,…
  • Commentary: Emphasis on Polling Hurts Public Confidence in Process - Opinion piece in Albany Times-Union, Wednesday, November 18, 2020 https://www.timesunion.com/opinion/article/Commentary-Emphasis-on-polling-hurts-public-15734913.php
  • Persistent Errors by Pollsters Favored Democrats in the 2020 Election - Pollsters consistently overestimated the share of votes for President-Elect Joe Biden and Democratic Senatorial candidates in the 2020 election.  While polls correctly predicted Biden's victory, polling averages overestimated his margins in states he won and underestimated Donald Trump's margins in states that Trump won. The errors were not the result…
  • Positive COVID Tests and Hospitalizations More than Doubled In New York After September 1st - The number of COVID-19 positive tests and hospitalizations in New York State has sharply increased since September 1st.  The number of daily positive tests identified on October 28th was 1,739, compared with 677 on September 1st - an increase of 157%.  Current hospitalizations increased from 457 to 1,042 during the…
  • New York State Gave $2.6 Million to Build a Food Greenhouse that Pays One Dollar Above the Minimum Wage - In April of this year, Green Empire Farms in the central New York city of Oneida became notorious as the location of more than 170 Covid-19 cases.  The facility is a massive 2.8 million square foot greenhouse where vegetables and fruit, including strawberries and cucumbers, are produced.  County health officials…
  • Covid-19 Cases Increase Unevenly in New York - Through this Summer, Covid-19 case numbers remained low in New York State.  Though the numbers remain far below the levels of March and April, the rate of infection statewide is increasing.  In July and August, the state averaged between three and four cases per 100,000 residents per day.  By October…
  • President Trump’s Economic Renaissance – Fact or Fiction? - During the 2016 campaign, Donald Trump claimed that his policies would "Make America Great Again," creating jobs by redressing trade imbalances.  He argued that “We will make America the best place in the world to start a business, hire workers, and open a factory,”   Trump claimed that he would change…
  • Don’t Make Poor Districts Shoulder the Burden - An opinion piece written for the Albany Times-Union:  https://www.timesunion.com/opinion/article/Viewpoint-Don-t-make-poor-districts-shoulder-the-15573324.php
  • Covid-19: The Cost in Lost Jobs - With more than 190,000 lives lost and millions infected, Covid-19 has imposed a tragic toll on residents of the United States.  New York State was hit hard early on, and has lost 32,600 residents to the disease as of early September  But strong controls that shut down much of the…