The Empire Center’s Nursing Home Study: A Reexamination of the Data In a recent post, I noted that the recent Empire Center report by Bill Hammond and Ian Kingsbury, “COVID-positive Admissions Were Correlated with Higher Death Rates in New York Nursing Homes,” offered useful findings concerning the relationship between the number of COVID patients that nursing homes accepted from hospitals and the rate of COVID deaths […]
The Empire Center’s Report on Nursing Home Deaths Answers Some Questions, Raises Others The Empire Center’s February 18th Report, “COVID-positive Admissions Were Correlated with Higher Death Rates in New York Nursing Homes” shows an association between COVID-positive admissions and death rates in nursing homes in New York State, following the State Health Department order on March 25th, 2020 requiring that they accept recovering COVID patients. The Empire Center […]
Cuomo’s Nursing Home Controversy – What does the Data Show? Questions have been raised since last Summer about New York’s published count of nursing home resident deaths. The State had claimed until this month that nursing home deaths stood at only 7,491, a relatively low rate compared to other states across the nation. This, despite Governor Cuomo’s health department directive issued on March 25th that […]
The Botched COVID-19 Vaccine Rollout: 100 Million Doses in 100 Days Isn’t Enough The rollout of the COVID-19 vaccine in New York State and elsewhere has been marred by confusion and limited supplies of vaccines. In New York, the state portal does not provide an easy way for people to identify all the locations that have the vaccine, or to sign-up, other than for sites operated by the […]
Poverty in Upstate Metropolitan Areas: Myths and Realities We live in an era in which long-held attitudes about race have been heightened by political campaigns that attempt to mobilize fears among white voters about minority group members and immigrants. These appeals have ranged from claims that President Obama is a Muslim who was born in Kenya and claims that criminal undocumented immigrants endanger […]
New York’s Explosion of COVID Cases and a Flawed Vaccine Roll-Out When Covid-19 first appeared in New York in March of this year, the state, like other locations, faced a novel disease against which there were few defenses. New York faced a dire situation in March – hospitals in the New York Metropolitan area were overwhelmed. With cases and hospitalizations skyrocketing, the State imposed a lockdown, […]
COVID-19: The Harsh Tradeoffs COVID-19 created a series of dilemmas for policymakers at the state and federal levels. Actions that would reduce the frequency of infection involved measures that would limit personal interactions, causing the loss of jobs, while reopening the economy proved to result in higher levels of infection, hospitalizations and deaths. But, the difficult policy choices were […]
Commentary: Emphasis on Polling Hurts Public Confidence in Process Opinion piece in Albany Times-Union, Wednesday, November 18, 2020 https://www.timesunion.com/opinion/article/Commentary-Emphasis-on-polling-hurts-public-15734913.php
Persistent Errors by Pollsters Favored Democrats in the 2020 Election Pollsters consistently overestimated the share of votes for President-Elect Joe Biden and Democratic Senatorial candidates in the 2020 election. While polls correctly predicted Biden’s victory, polling averages overestimated his margins in states he won and underestimated Donald Trump’s margins in states that Trump won. The errors were not the result of random variations in sampling. […]
Positive COVID Tests and Hospitalizations More than Doubled In New York After September 1st The number of COVID-19 positive tests and hospitalizations in New York State has sharply increased since September 1st. The number of daily positive tests identified on October 28th was 1,739, compared with 677 on September 1st – an increase of 157%. Current hospitalizations increased from 457 to 1,042 during the same period – an increase […]
